銆€鎴愮妇鏌ヨ鈥� 鑰冨悗鎰熻█

鐗瑰垾鎺ㄨ枽锛�鐠�(hu谩n)鐞冮€犲児宸ョ▼甯簿褰╄闋诲厤璨诲(xu茅)鈥� 鍏ㄧ▼闋�(l菒ng)璺�鈥� 鍦ㄧ窔浼板垎

銆€銆€1. 寮曡█

銆€銆€鐩墠锛屾垜鍦嬬禃澶ч儴鍒嗗伐绋嬬殑鎵垮寘閮介噰鐢ㄦ姇妯�(bi膩o)鏂瑰紡锛岀敳涔欓洐鏂逛互妯�(bi膩o)鏇镐綔鐐烘渶绲傜祼(ji茅)绠楃殑渚濇摎(j霉)銆傚線寰€宸ョ▼閫犲児甯嬁鍒板湒绱欏悗锛岄兘浠ュ偝绲�(t菕ng)鐨勮▓绠楁柟寮忓皪寰呭缓宸ョ▼閫�(j矛n)琛岄爯(y霉)绠�銆傛鏂规硶涓嶅儏鍦ㄨ▓绠楅亷绋嬩腑绻佺懀鏄撳嚭閷�锛岃€屼笖鍦ㄨ€冨療銆佹悳闆嗘暩(sh霉)鎿�(j霉)鐨勭挵(hu谩n)绡€(ji茅)涓€楁檪閬庡銆傛极闀风殑瑷堢畻鍛ㄦ湡灏�(d菐o)鑷存柦宸ヤ紒妤�(y猫)鍦ㄦ姇妯�(bi膩o)涓檿浜庤鍕�銆傜偤姝�锛屾湰鏂囨彁鍑轰竴绋噳(y墨ng)鐢ㄦā绯婃暩(sh霉)瀛�(xu茅)鐨勭悊璜栧皪宸ョ▼閫犲児閫�(j矛n)琛屽揩閫熼爯(y霉)绠楃殑鏂规硶锛岃┎鏂规硶鏄皪閬庡幓宸茬宸ョ殑鍏稿瀷宸ョ▼鐨勫悇闋呰硣鏂欓€�(j矛n)琛屾暣鐞嗗苟鍖附鍒嗘瀽锛屽缓绔嬪悇鍏冪礌淇℃伅妯″銆傞€犲児鍝″皪寰呭缓宸ョ▼鍦栫礄鍒嗘瀽鍚�锛屽緸宸叉暣鐞嗗ソ鐨勫伐绋嬩俊鎭腑鏌ュ嚭鑸囧緟寤哄伐绋嬫渶椤炰技鐨勪笁鍊嬪伐绋嬶紝鐢ㄥ畠鍊戠殑闋�(y霉)绠楄硣鏂�锛屽皪寰呭缓宸ョ▼鐨勯€犲児閫�(j矛n)琛屽揩閫熶及绠椼€�

銆€銆€2. 閫犲児渚濇摎(j霉)

銆€銆€鐩墠鎴戝湅宸ョ▼閫犲児鐨勮▓鍍逛緷鎿�(j霉)涓昏鏄細

銆€銆€(1)瀹氶锛氱偤瀹屾垚瑕�(gu墨)瀹氳▓閲忓柈浣嶇殑鍒嗛爡宸ョ▼鎵€蹇呴爤鐨勪汉宸�銆佹潗鏂�銆佹柦宸ユ(j墨)姊拌嚭鐝鐗╂秷鑰楅噺鐨勬(bi膩o)婧�(zh菙n)銆傚畠鐢辨斂搴滀富绠￠儴闁€鍒跺畾銆佺櫦(f膩)甯冨拰绠＄悊銆�

銆€銆€(2)鍍规牸锛氬寘鎷汉宸ャ€佹潗鏂�銆佹柦宸ユ(j墨)姊拌嚭鐝児鏍�锛岀敱宸ョ▼閫犲児绠＄悊閮ㄩ杸渚濇摎(j霉)鏈湴鍗€(q奴)甯傚牬鍍规牸琛屾儏锛屽畾鏈熺櫦(f膩)甯冨競鍫存寚灏�(d菐o)鍍规牸鍙婂悇鐩搁棞(gu膩n)鐨勬寚鏁�(sh霉)鍜屼俊鎭�銆傜洰鍓�锛屾湁涓昏鏉愭枡鍜屾瑕佹潗鏂欏叐绋�銆傚皪浜庡墠鑰�锛屾瘡鏈堢敱瀹氶绺界珯瑕�(gu墨)瀹氫腑婧�(zh菙n)鍍瑰姞鐧惧垎姣旂殑娴嫊骞呭害锛屼緥濡傞嫾鏉�銆佹湪鏉愭毇瀹氱偤卤5%锛屽叾浣欏潎鐐郝�8%;灏嶄簬娆¤鏉愭枡锛屾瘡鍗婂勾鎴栦竴骞寸敱瀹氶绺界珯鐧�(f膩)甯冧竴娆¤(di脿o)鏁寸郴鏁�(sh霉)銆�

銆€銆€(3)璨荤敤锛氱敱寤鸿ō(sh猫)閮ㄥ埗瀹氱当(t菕ng)涓€寤鸿ō(sh猫)闋呯洰绺介€犲児鍙婂缓瀹夊伐绋嬭不鐢ㄩ爡鐩祫鎴�(鍖呮嫭鍒╂饯鍜岀▍閲�)锛岀敱鍦板崁(q奴)琛屾キ(y猫)涓荤閮ㄩ杸娓畻璨荤巼锛屽垎鍒ョ偤鎸囦护鎬у拰鎸囧皫(d菐o)鎬ц不鐜�锛屼緵鎵跨櫦(f膩)鍖呴洐鏂瑰煼(zh铆)琛�銆�

銆€銆€3. 閫犲児閬庣▼

銆€銆€3.1 寤虹珛鍏冪礌鐗瑰緛鍚戦噺

銆€銆€宸茬煡T1銆乀2銆佲€︹€�銆乀m 鐐簃鍊嬪凡绔ｅ伐鐨勫吀鍨嬪伐绋�锛孲鐐哄鍊嬬壒寰佸厓绱犵殑闆嗗悎锛�

銆€銆€鍗砈=(灞ゆ暩(sh霉)锛屾〒楂旂祼(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)锛屽熀绀�(ch菙)椤炲瀷锛屽伐鏂欓鍨嬧€︹€�)锛岀敤S=(s1锛宻2锛宻3锛屸€︹€�锛宻m)

銆€銆€琛ㄧず锛屽叾涓璼m琛ㄧず鐗瑰緛鍏冪礌銆�

銆€銆€閭ｄ箞锛岀n鍊嬪伐绋嬬殑鐗瑰緛鍏冪礌闆嗗悎鍙互琛ㄧず鐐篠n=(sn1锛宻n2锛宻n3锛屸€︹€�锛宻nm)锛�

銆€銆€鍓噑nm 琛ㄧず绗琻鍊嬪伐绋嬬殑绗琺鍊嬬壒寰佸厓绱�銆�

銆€銆€鍒版锛屾垜鍊戞墍闇€瑕佺殑鍏冪礌鐗瑰緛鍚戦噺宸插缓绔嬪畬鎴�銆�

銆€銆€3.2 纰虹珛妯＄硦闆�

銆€銆€鐢�3.1涓�锛屾垜鍊戝凡缍�(j墨ng)寰楀埌鎴戝€戦渶瑕佺殑鍏冪礌鐗瑰緛鍚戦噺锛岃€屽湪銆婃ā绯婃暩(sh霉)瀛�(xu茅)鏂规硶鍙婂叾鎳�(y墨ng)鐢ㄣ€嬩腑锛屾垜鍊戝(xu茅)閬庘€滄ā绯婇泦鈥�锛岀敤鍒嗗紡鐨勫舰寮忎締琛ㄧず鈥滅▼搴︹€�锛�(娉細姝ゅ垎寮忎笉琛ㄧず鍒�?j菒n)?sh霉)锛屽彧浣滅偤绋嬪害鐨勪竴绋〃绀烘柟娉�)銆�

銆€銆€3.3 妲�(g貌u)寤鸿硣鏂欑煩闄�

銆€銆€閫氶亷鍑芥暩(sh霉)闅稿爆鍊�锛屽彲浠ョ⒑瀹氬叾璩囨枡鐭╅櫍锛�锛�

銆€銆€鏍规摎(j霉)瑭茬煩闄ｅ彲鍚屾檪纰哄畾閫犲児鐗瑰緛鍚戦噺A* = [s1,s2,鈥m]銆�

銆€銆€3.4 姹傝布杩戝害

銆€銆€瑷�(sh猫)a銆乥鏄ā绯婇泦P={(s1,t1),(s2,t2),鈥︹€�,(sn,tn)}涓殑鍏╁€嬪瓙闆�(鍏朵腑tn = snm)锛屽墖锛�

銆€銆€鍏�(n猫i)绌嶏細a◦b=[ta鈭b]; 澶栫⿳锛歛鈯� b=[ta鈭╰b];璨艰繎搴︼細(a,b)=[a◦b + (1−a鈯檅)];

銆€銆€璨艰繎搴﹁秺澶�锛岃鏄庤垏瓒婅布杩戙€�

銆€銆€3.5 閫犲児浼扮畻

銆€銆€鍙洿鎺ュ埄鐢ㄥ凡鏈夌殑浼版脯鍏紡锛�

銆€銆€=[k1A1 + k2A2(1-k1) + k3A3(1-k1)(1-k2) + (A1 + A2 + A3)(1-k1)(1-k2)(1-k3)/3]

銆€銆€鍏朵腑Am鐐哄吀鍨嬪伐绋嬫瘡骞崇背閫犲児鍠児锛宬1,k2,k3鐐鸿垏寰呭缓宸ョ▼鏈€鐩镐技鐨勪笁鍊嬪吀鍨嬪伐绋嬬殑璨艰繎搴�锛屽苟婊胯冻锛歬1鈮2鈮3鐐哄伐绋嬭(di脿o)鏁寸郴鏁�(sh霉)锛屾瘡骞寸敱鍦嬪鍒跺畾銆�

銆€銆€閫氶亷浠ヤ笂姝ラ锛屼究鍙及绠楀嚭寰呭缓宸ョ▼姣忓钩绫崇殑宸ョ▼娆鹃銆�

銆€銆€4. 瀵︿緥閬嬬敤

銆€銆€鏌愬皬鍗€(q奴)鎿缓鍥涙鍗楀寳璧板悜锛屽缓绛戦潰绌�132.4m ,瀵︾敤闈㈢⿳114.8m 鐨勫叚灞ょ娣蜂綇瀹呮〒锛屽缓绛戝澧荤偤闃叉徊閫忔秱灞�锛岄嫾绛嬫贩鍑濆湡鐐哄熀绀�(ch菙)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)锛屽甯跺湴涓嬪仠杌婁綅(鍋滆粖浣嶄笉鍦ㄩ€犲児鑼冨湇涔嬪収(n猫i))銆�

銆€銆€鐝�(xi脿n)鐢ㄦ湰鏂囦粙绱圭殑鏂规硶灏嶅叾閫�(j矛n)琛岄€犲児浼扮畻锛�

銆€銆€宸茬煡瑭查€犲児鍏徃璩囨枡搴腑锛屼互宸查€犲児瀹岀暍鐨勪笁浠芥渶椤炰技宸ョ▼閫犲児璩囨枡浣滅偤鍏稿瀷宸ョ▼锛屾牴鎿�(j霉)寤虹瓚瑕佹眰锛屽缓绔嬬壒寰佸厓绱犻泦鍚圫={鍗楀寳璧板悜锛屽叚灞�锛岀娣烽槻婊查€忔秱灞�锛岄嫾绛嬫贩鍑濆湡锛屼笁瀹や竴寤筹綕锛屽彲纰哄畾妯＄硦闂�(gu膩n)绯伙細鍗楀寳璧板悜鐐�1;涓冨堡鐐�1;杞�(zhu菐n)娣锋秱鏂欑偤1;閶肩瓔娣峰嚌鍦熷熀绀�(ch菙)绲�(ji茅)妲�(g貌u)鐐�1;涓夊鍏╁怀闆欓櫧鑷虹祫鍚堢偤1銆�

銆€銆€寰呭缓宸ョ▼鐨勭壒寰佸悜閲廈 = [ 1 0.85 0.90 0.90 0.75 ]

銆€銆€鐢辨悳闆嗗埌鐨勮硣鏂欓’绀篍銆丗銆丟姣忓钩绫崇殑閫犲児鐐猴細D1=1067鍏�;D2=1083鍏�;D3=1061鍏�銆�

銆€銆€鐝�(xi脿n)鍒嗗垾姹傚煙鐨勮布杩戝害锛�

銆€銆€B◦E=[(0.50鈭�1)鈭�(1鈭�0.85)鈭�(0.85鈭�0.90)鈭�(0.90鈭�0.90)鈭�(0.80鈭�0.75)]

銆€銆€=0.50鈭�0.85鈭�0.85鈭�0.90鈭�0.75=0.90

銆€銆€B鈯橤=[(1鈭�1)鈭�(0.85鈭�0.85)鈭�(1鈭�0.90)鈭�(0.95鈭�0.90)鈭�(0.80鈭�0.75)]

銆€銆€=1鈭�0.85鈭�1鈭�0.95鈭�0.80 = 0.80

銆€銆€k3=(B,G)=[1 + (1−0.80)] = 0.60

銆€銆€鎵€浠ュ緟寤哄伐绋嬫瘡鎴堕€犲児锛�1087.426*132.4=143975.2(鍏�)

銆€銆€缍�(j墨ng)妾㈤锛屽緟寤哄伐绋嬮€犲児浼扮畻绲�(ji茅)鏋滆垏鍚勫吀鍨嬪伐绋嬮€犲児瑾ゅ樊涓嶈秴閬�3%锛岀鍚堣┎宸ョ▼閫犲児瑕佹眰銆�

銆€銆€4.1 灏嶅悇鍥犵礌褰遍熆閫犲児鐨勫垎鏋�

銆€銆€宸ョ▼閫犲児锛屽琛屼汉瑕哄緱鐪嬩技绨″柈锛屼絾鍏朵腑鍖呭惈浜嗗緢澶氬収(n猫i)瀹�銆�

銆€銆€棣栧厛锛岀敱鏈枃灏卞彲鐪嬪嚭锛屽奖闊块€犲児鐨勭洿瑙€鍥犵礌灏辨槸宸ョ▼瑾�(di脿o)鏁寸郴鏁�(sh霉)鑸囧伐绋嬪嚱鏁�(sh霉)闅稿爆鍊�锛屽墠鑰呯敱鍦嬪鑰屽畾锛屽悗鑰呯敱鏂藉伐鍠綅鐨勫伐绋嬭€佸斧璩︿簣锛屾墍浠ラ毟灞€肩殑绮炬簴(zh菙n)搴︾洿鎺ュ皫(d菐o)鑷村伐绋嬬殑鐩堝埄鎴栬櫑鎼嶃€�

銆€銆€鍏舵锛屾棦鐒舵槸閫犲児锛岄偅涔堣▓绠楀嚭鐨勫伐绋嬫灏辨槸瑭插伐绋嬬殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍍瑰€�锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍍瑰€煎惈姒備簡绌洪枔銆佷汉宸�銆佸伐鏂�銆佺董璀�(h霉)鍙婂悗绾�(x霉)淇濋殰宸ヤ綔鐨勮不鐢�銆傚弽閬庝締瑾紝鍚庤€呯殑璨荤敤瓒婇珮锛岀敓鐢�(ch菐n)鍍瑰€煎氨瓒婇珮锛屽緸鑰屽皫(d菐o)鑷撮€犲児娆鹃鐨勬彁鍗�銆傛墍浠ワ紝宸ョ▼閫犲児锛屽叾瀵﹀氨鏄皪瑭插伐绋嬬殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍍瑰€煎仛浼版脯锛屽皣鎶借薄鐨勫児鏍煎叿楂斿寲锛屽苟鐩磋鐨勫弽鏄犲嚭渚�銆備竴闋呭伐绋嬬殑鐢熺敘(ch菐n)鍍瑰€间腑锛屽伐鏂欏拰浜哄伐鍗犱簡绲曞ぇ閮ㄥ垎鐨勬瘮渚�锛屾墍浠ユ湰鏂囧彧閲濆皪鍏朵簩鑰呴€�(j矛n)琛屽垎鏋愶紝浠ヤ笅鏄皪宸ユ枡鍜屼汉宸ョ殑鍒嗘瀽绲�(ji茅)鏋滐細

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